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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W 100,000 times. Monterrey W won 77,145 of them (77.2%), the draw came up 14.3% of the time and Cruz Azul W won 8.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Monterrey W winning 77.2% and gave this exact score 7.2%.
| Monterrey W win | 77.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.3% |
| Cruz Azul W win | 8.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.80 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.1% |
| Monterrey W score first | 78.2% |
| Cruz Azul W score first | 18.6% |
| Monterrey W clean sheet | 43.3% |
| Cruz Azul W clean sheet | 6.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599523 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monterrey W are favourites. They win 77.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.3% for the draw and 8.5% for Cruz Azul W. Including the draw, Monterrey W avoid defeat 91.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Monterrey W keep a clean sheet 43.3% of the time and Cruz Azul W 6.5%.
The simulations average 3.64 goals: 2.80 for Monterrey W and 0.84 for Cruz Azul W. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.