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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Montpellier vs Metz 100,000 times. Montpellier won 51,772 of them (51.8%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Metz won 22.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Montpellier win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 55.2% of simulations.
| Montpellier win | 51.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Metz win | 22.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 55.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Montpellier score first | 55.3% |
| Metz score first | 37.4% |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 34.4% |
| Metz clean sheet | 17.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420626188 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Montpellier are favourites. They win 51.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 22.3% for Metz. Including the draw, Montpellier avoid defeat 77.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Montpellier win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.2% of simulations. Montpellier keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Metz 17.8%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.75 for Montpellier and 1.08 for Metz. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.