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We simulated Morocco vs Haiti 100,000 times. Morocco won 75,079 of them (75.1%), the draw came up 16.5% of the time and Haiti won 8.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13.9%), and both teams score in 42% of simulations.
Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Morocco winning 75.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Morocco win | 75.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.5% |
| Haiti win | 8.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 0.63 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Morocco score first | 73% |
| Haiti score first | 21.6% |
| Morocco clean sheet | 53.4% |
| Haiti clean sheet | 10.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562855 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Morocco are favourites. They win 75.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.5% for the draw and 8.4% for Haiti. Including the draw, Morocco avoid defeat 91.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42% of simulations. Morocco keep a clean sheet 53.4% of the time and Haiti 10.1%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 2.33 for Morocco and 0.63 for Haiti. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.