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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Naples vs NY Cosmos 100,000 times. Naples won 43,308 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and NY Cosmos won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Naples win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Naples winning 43.3% and gave this exact score 9%.
| Naples win | 43.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| NY Cosmos win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Naples score first | 55% |
| NY Cosmos score first | 38.2% |
| Naples clean sheet | 26.2% |
| NY Cosmos clean sheet | 19.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420523146 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Naples are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 29.4% for NY Cosmos. Including the draw, Naples avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Naples win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Naples keep a clean sheet 26.2% of the time and NY Cosmos 19.1%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 1.68 for Naples and 1.36 for NY Cosmos. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.