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Esiliiga B · 100,000 simulations

Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction

We simulated Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev 100,000 times. Narva Trans U21 won 76,331 of them (76.3%), the draw came up 12.9% of the time and FA Tartu Kalev won 10.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.1%), and both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.

Narva Trans U21 badge
Narva Trans U21 Kreenholmi Staadion
2–0 Full time
FA Tartu Kalev badge
FA Tartu Kalev Away
76.3% 76,331 wins
12.9% Draw
10.8% 10,753 wins
Expected goals
3.02 – 1.07
Likeliest score
2-1 8.1%
Both score
61.6%
Over 2.5
76.9%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Narva Trans U21 winning 76.3% and gave this exact score 7.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Kreenholmi Staadion, Narva
Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev live score, stats & lineups

Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev in numbers 100,000 simulations · Esiliiga B · Thursday 15 October, 17:00

Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev simulation probabilities
Narva Trans U21 win76.3%
Draw12.9%
FA Tartu Kalev win10.8%
Most likely score2-1 (8.1%)
Expected goals3.02 – 1.07
Both teams to score61.6%
Over 1.5 goals90.8%
Over 2.5 goals76.9%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Narva Trans U21 score first75.5%
FA Tartu Kalev score first23.1%
Narva Trans U21 clean sheet34.7%
FA Tartu Kalev clean sheet5.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420522748
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction FAQs

Who will win Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev?

Narva Trans U21 are favourites. They win 76.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.9% for the draw and 10.8% for FA Tartu Kalev. Including the draw, Narva Trans U21 avoid defeat 89.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev?

2-1, which came up in 8.1% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev?

Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Narva Trans U21 keep a clean sheet 34.7% of the time and FA Tartu Kalev 5.2%.

How many goals will there be in Narva Trans U21 vs FA Tartu Kalev?

The simulations average 4.09 goals: 3.02 for Narva Trans U21 and 1.07 for FA Tartu Kalev. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.9% and over 3.5 goals 58%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.