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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated NEC vs Express FC 100,000 times. NEC won 62,375 of them (62.4%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Express FC won 13.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.4%), and both teams score in 38.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.1% and gave this exact score 10.3%.
| NEC win | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.1% |
| Express FC win | 13.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 0.63 |
| Both teams to score | 38.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.5% |
| NEC score first | 67.3% |
| Express FC score first | 22.6% |
| NEC clean sheet | 53.3% |
| Express FC clean sheet | 19% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678298 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
NEC are favourites. They win 62.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 13.6% for Express FC. Including the draw, NEC avoid defeat 86.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.8%) and 1-1 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.1% of simulations. NEC keep a clean sheet 53.3% of the time and Express FC 19%.
The simulations average 2.31 goals: 1.68 for NEC and 0.63 for Express FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.7% and over 3.5 goals 20.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.