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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Neftchi vs Xorazm 100,000 times. Neftchi won 80,484 of them (80.5%), the draw came up 12.6% of the time and Xorazm won 6.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.1%), and both teams score in 45.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 12.6% and gave this exact score 2.8%.
| Neftchi win | 80.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.6% |
| Xorazm win | 6.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.77 – 0.68 |
| Both teams to score | 45.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.2% |
| Neftchi score first | 75.2% |
| Xorazm score first | 21.5% |
| Neftchi clean sheet | 50.8% |
| Xorazm clean sheet | 6.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420513657 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Neftchi are favourites. They win 80.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.6% for the draw and 6.9% for Xorazm. Including the draw, Neftchi avoid defeat 93.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11%) and 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.9% of simulations. Neftchi keep a clean sheet 50.8% of the time and Xorazm 6.6%.
The simulations average 3.46 goals: 2.77 for Neftchi and 0.68 for Xorazm. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.6% and over 3.5 goals 45.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.