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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia 100,000 times. CSKA Sofia won 80,839 of them (80.8%), the draw came up 12.8% of the time and Nesebar won 6.4%. The most likely score is 0-2 (14.3%), and both teams score in 38.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had CSKA Sofia winning 80.8% and gave this exact score 14.3%.
| Nesebar win | 6.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.8% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 80.8% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (14.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.56 – 2.58 |
| Both teams to score | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.4% |
| Nesebar score first | 16% |
| CSKA Sofia score first | 79.7% |
| Nesebar clean sheet | 8% |
| CSKA Sofia clean sheet | 57.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420730363 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
CSKA Sofia are favourites. They win 80.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.8% for the draw and 6.4% for Nesebar. Including the draw, CSKA Sofia avoid defeat 93.6% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (12.2%) and 0-1 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations. Nesebar keep a clean sheet 8% of the time and CSKA Sofia 57.5%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 0.56 for Nesebar and 2.58 for CSKA Sofia. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.3% and over 3.5 goals 38.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.