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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau 100,000 times. Neuchâtel Xamax won 39,457 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Aarau won 37.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Neuchâtel Xamax win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Aarau winning 37.2% and gave this exact score 4.4%.
| Neuchâtel Xamax win | 39.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Aarau win | 37.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.62 |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.9% |
| Neuchâtel Xamax score first | 45.6% |
| Aarau score first | 50.5% |
| Neuchâtel Xamax clean sheet | 20.1% |
| Aarau clean sheet | 19.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668798 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Neuchâtel Xamax are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 37.2% for Aarau. Including the draw, Neuchâtel Xamax avoid defeat 62.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Neuchâtel Xamax win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations. Neuchâtel Xamax keep a clean sheet 20.1% of the time and Aarau 19.1%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.68 for Neuchâtel Xamax and 1.62 for Aarau. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.8% and over 3.5 goals 41.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.