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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated New England vs Inter Miami 100,000 times. Inter Miami won 42,199 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and New England won 33.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 69.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Inter Miami winning 42.2% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| New England win | 33.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Inter Miami win | 42.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | 69.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.2% |
| New England score first | 45.4% |
| Inter Miami score first | 50.5% |
| New England clean sheet | 15.7% |
| Inter Miami clean sheet | 19.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510111 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter Miami are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 33.9% for New England. Including the draw, Inter Miami avoid defeat 66.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 69.1% of simulations. New England keep a clean sheet 15.7% of the time and Inter Miami 19.2%.
The simulations average 3.55 goals: 1.67 for New England and 1.88 for Inter Miami. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.4% and over 3.5 goals 47.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.