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AFC Champions League Elite · 100,000 simulations

Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port prediction

We simulated Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port 100,000 times. Shanghai Port won 54,582 of them (54.6%), the draw came up 21.7% of the time and Newcastle Jets won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9%, while the likeliest Shanghai Port win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations.

Newcastle Jets badge
Newcastle Jets McDonald Jones Stadium
Tomorrow
Shanghai Port badge
Shanghai Port Away
23.7% 23,690 wins
21.7% Draw
54.6% 54,582 wins
Expected goals
1.44 – 2.23
Likeliest score
1-1 9% Top Shanghai Port win: 1-2 8.9%
Both score
68.2%
Over 2.5
70.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port lineups, team news & head to head

Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port in numbers 100,000 simulations · AFC Champions League Elite · Tomorrow, 07:45

Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port simulation probabilities
Newcastle Jets win23.7%
Draw21.7%
Shanghai Port win54.6%
Most likely score1-1 (9%)
Expected goals1.44 – 2.23
Both teams to score68.2%
Over 1.5 goals88.6%
Over 2.5 goals70.5%
Over 3.5 goals49.8%
Newcastle Jets score first37.8%
Shanghai Port score first58.6%
Newcastle Jets clean sheet11.1%
Shanghai Port clean sheet24.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420661090
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port prediction FAQs

Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port?

Shanghai Port are favourites. They win 54.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.7% for the draw and 23.7% for Newcastle Jets. Including the draw, Shanghai Port avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port?

1-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (6.6%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port?

Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations. Newcastle Jets keep a clean sheet 11.1% of the time and Shanghai Port 24.2%.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port?

The simulations average 3.67 goals: 1.44 for Newcastle Jets and 2.23 for Shanghai Port. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.5% and over 3.5 goals 49.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.