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We simulated Newcastle Jets vs Shanghai Port 100,000 times. Shanghai Port won 54,582 of them (54.6%), the draw came up 21.7% of the time and Newcastle Jets won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9%, while the likeliest Shanghai Port win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations.
| Newcastle Jets win | 23.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.7% |
| Shanghai Port win | 54.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 2.23 |
| Both teams to score | 68.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.8% |
| Newcastle Jets score first | 37.8% |
| Shanghai Port score first | 58.6% |
| Newcastle Jets clean sheet | 11.1% |
| Shanghai Port clean sheet | 24.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661090 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shanghai Port are favourites. They win 54.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.7% for the draw and 23.7% for Newcastle Jets. Including the draw, Shanghai Port avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (6.6%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations. Newcastle Jets keep a clean sheet 11.1% of the time and Shanghai Port 24.2%.
The simulations average 3.67 goals: 1.44 for Newcastle Jets and 2.23 for Shanghai Port. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.5% and over 3.5 goals 49.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.