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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nõmme Kalju U21 vs Elva 100,000 times. Elva won 63,177 of them (63.2%), the draw came up 20.3% of the time and Nõmme Kalju U21 won 16.6%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.4%), and both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 20.3% and gave this exact score 4.3%.
| Nõmme Kalju U21 win | 16.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.3% |
| Elva win | 63.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 2.30 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% |
| Nõmme Kalju U21 score first | 32.1% |
| Elva score first | 63.4% |
| Nõmme Kalju U21 clean sheet | 10.6% |
| Elva clean sheet | 33.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420518186 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Elva are favourites. They win 63.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.3% for the draw and 16.6% for Nõmme Kalju U21. Including the draw, Elva avoid defeat 83.4% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations. Nõmme Kalju U21 keep a clean sheet 10.6% of the time and Elva 33.7%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 1.10 for Nõmme Kalju U21 and 2.30 for Elva. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.6% and over 3.5 goals 44.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.