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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nõmme United vs Levadia 100,000 times. Levadia won 67,050 of them (67.1%), the draw came up 16.3% of the time and Nõmme United won 16.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.8%), and both teams score in 64.9% of simulations.
Full time 3-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Levadia winning 67.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Nõmme United win | 16.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.3% |
| Levadia win | 67.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.24 – 2.62 |
| Both teams to score | 64.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.6% |
| Nõmme United score first | 30.9% |
| Levadia score first | 67.3% |
| Nõmme United clean sheet | 7.6% |
| Levadia clean sheet | 29.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521673 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Levadia are favourites. They win 67.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.3% for the draw and 16.7% for Nõmme United. Including the draw, Levadia avoid defeat 83.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.9% of simulations. Nõmme United keep a clean sheet 7.6% of the time and Levadia 29.4%.
The simulations average 3.86 goals: 1.24 for Nõmme United and 2.62 for Levadia. Over 1.5 goals lands 89% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.6% and over 3.5 goals 53.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.