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Meistriliiga · 100,000 simulations

Nõmme United vs Paide prediction

We simulated Nõmme United vs Paide 100,000 times. Paide won 54,022 of them (54%), the draw came up 21.7% of the time and Nõmme United won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.2%, while the likeliest Paide win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations.

Nõmme United badge
Nõmme United Männiku staadion
1–3 Full time
Paide badge
Paide Away
24.2% 24,236 wins
21.7% Draw
54% 54,022 wins
Expected goals
1.39 – 2.14
Likeliest score
1-1 9.2% Top Paide win: 1-2 9.1%
Both score
66.3%
Over 2.5
68.2%

Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Paide winning 54% and gave this exact score 6.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Martti Pukk Männiku staadion, Finland
Nõmme United vs Paide live score, stats & lineups

Nõmme United vs Paide in numbers 100,000 simulations · Meistriliiga · Saturday 19 September, 15:00

Nõmme United vs Paide simulation probabilities
Nõmme United win24.2%
Draw21.7%
Paide win54%
Most likely score1-1 (9.2%)
Expected goals1.39 – 2.14
Both teams to score66.3%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68.2%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Nõmme United score first38.1%
Paide score first58.3%
Nõmme United clean sheet12.1%
Paide clean sheet25.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420521631
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Nõmme United vs Paide prediction FAQs

Who will win Nõmme United vs Paide?

Paide are favourites. They win 54% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.7% for the draw and 24.2% for Nõmme United. Including the draw, Paide avoid defeat 75.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Nõmme United vs Paide?

1-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Paide win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Nõmme United vs Paide?

Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations. Nõmme United keep a clean sheet 12.1% of the time and Paide 25.3%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Paide?

The simulations average 3.54 goals: 1.39 for Nõmme United and 2.14 for Paide. Over 1.5 goals lands 87% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.2% and over 3.5 goals 47%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.