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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nova Cidade vs Goytacaz 100,000 times. Nova Cidade won 36,155 of them (36.2%), the draw came up 34.2% of the time and Goytacaz won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.5%, while the likeliest Nova Cidade win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 45% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Goytacaz winning 29.6% and gave this exact score 6.7%.
| Nova Cidade win | 36.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.2% |
| Goytacaz win | 29.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.14 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.1% |
| Nova Cidade score first | 44% |
| Goytacaz score first | 41.6% |
| Nova Cidade clean sheet | 36.9% |
| Goytacaz clean sheet | 32.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673503 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nova Cidade are favourites. They win 36.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.2% for the draw and 29.6% for Goytacaz. Including the draw, Nova Cidade avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (14.4%) and 1-0 (11%). The likeliest Nova Cidade win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45% of simulations. Nova Cidade keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and Goytacaz 32.5%.
The simulations average 2.14 goals: 1.14 for Nova Cidade and 1.01 for Goytacaz. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.2% and over 3.5 goals 17.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.