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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated NSÍ vs HB 100,000 times. NSÍ won 51,940 of them (51.9%), the draw came up 24% of the time and HB won 24%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest NSÍ win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24% and gave this exact score 10.9%.
| NSÍ win | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| HB win | 24% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% |
| NSÍ score first | 57.3% |
| HB score first | 37.5% |
| NSÍ clean sheet | 29.1% |
| HB clean sheet | 15.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420522925 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
NSÍ are favourites. They win 51.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 24% for HB. Including the draw, NSÍ avoid defeat 76% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest NSÍ win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.1% of simulations. NSÍ keep a clean sheet 29.1% of the time and HB 15.2%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.92 for NSÍ and 1.25 for HB. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.