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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipú 100,000 times. Nueva Chicago won 37,887 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 34.8% of the time and Deportivo Maipú won 27.3%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 17%, while the likeliest Nueva Chicago win is 1-0 (14.3%). Both teams score in 38% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Deportivo Maipú winning 27.3% and gave this exact score 11.3%.
| Nueva Chicago win | 37.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.8% |
| Deportivo Maipú win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (17%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 12.4% |
| Nueva Chicago score first | 45.1% |
| Deportivo Maipú score first | 38% |
| Nueva Chicago clean sheet | 43.3% |
| Deportivo Maipú clean sheet | 35.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503429 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nueva Chicago are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.8% for the draw and 27.3% for Deportivo Maipú. Including the draw, Nueva Chicago avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 17% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (14.7%) and 1-0 (14.3%). The likeliest Nueva Chicago win is 1-0 (14.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38% of simulations. Nueva Chicago keep a clean sheet 43.3% of the time and Deportivo Maipú 35.6%.
The simulations average 1.88 goals: 1.04 for Nueva Chicago and 0.84 for Deportivo Maipú. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 29.2% and over 3.5 goals 12.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.