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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nueva Chicago vs Patronato 100,000 times. Nueva Chicago won 53,737 of them (53.7%), the draw came up 29.3% of the time and Patronato won 17%. The most likely score is 1-0 (18.8%), and both teams score in 33.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 29.3% and gave this exact score 11.8%.
| Nueva Chicago win | 53.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.3% |
| Patronato win | 17% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (18.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.33 – 0.61 |
| Both teams to score | 33.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 13.3% |
| Nueva Chicago score first | 55.9% |
| Patronato score first | 28.8% |
| Nueva Chicago clean sheet | 54.5% |
| Patronato clean sheet | 26.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503279 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nueva Chicago are favourites. They win 53.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.3% for the draw and 17% for Patronato. Including the draw, Nueva Chicago avoid defeat 83% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 18.8% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (15%) and 2-0 (12.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 33.5% of simulations. Nueva Chicago keep a clean sheet 54.5% of the time and Patronato 26.9%.
The simulations average 1.93 goals: 1.33 for Nueva Chicago and 0.61 for Patronato. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 30.6% and over 3.5 goals 13.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.