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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nueva Chicago vs San Martín San Juan 100,000 times. Nueva Chicago won 38,806 of them (38.8%), the draw came up 34.5% of the time and San Martín San Juan won 26.7%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.5%, while the likeliest Nueva Chicago win is 1-0 (14.2%). Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 34.5% and gave this exact score 14.7%.
| Nueva Chicago win | 38.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.5% |
| San Martín San Juan win | 26.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (16.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.07 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Nueva Chicago score first | 44.4% |
| San Martín San Juan score first | 38.9% |
| Nueva Chicago clean sheet | 43.2% |
| San Martín San Juan clean sheet | 34.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503231 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nueva Chicago are favourites. They win 38.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.5% for the draw and 26.7% for San Martín San Juan. Including the draw, Nueva Chicago avoid defeat 73.3% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 16.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (14.7%) and 1-0 (14.2%). The likeliest Nueva Chicago win is 1-0 (14.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations. Nueva Chicago keep a clean sheet 43.2% of the time and San Martín San Juan 34.5%.
The simulations average 1.92 goals: 1.07 for Nueva Chicago and 0.84 for San Martín San Juan. Over 1.5 goals lands 58.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 30.1% and over 3.5 goals 13%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.