NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
NEW
Introducing The Pulse Feature For Insights
6 Nov 2026
It lives at the top of the fixture feed and will show you all of the interesting data it has found across the many tools and metrics on Odd…
OFFER
Leave A Review For A Chance To Win £50!
5 Nov 2026
This fall, four OA users will win £50 Amazon vouchers. All you need to do is leave an honest review for OddAlerts that will help any potent…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ogre United vs Riga 100,000 times. Riga won 88,987 of them (89%), the draw came up 7.4% of the time and Ogre United won 3.6%. The most likely score is 0-3 (11.4%), and both teams score in 44.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 7.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Ogre United win | 3.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.4% |
| Riga win | 89% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.62 – 3.53 |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.9% |
| Ogre United score first | 15.6% |
| Riga score first | 82.8% |
| Ogre United clean sheet | 3.2% |
| Riga clean sheet | 53.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519508 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Riga are favourites. They win 89% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.4% for the draw and 3.6% for Ogre United. Including the draw, Riga avoid defeat 96.4% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (10%) and 0-2 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations. Ogre United keep a clean sheet 3.2% of the time and Riga 53.9%.
The simulations average 4.15 goals: 0.62 for Ogre United and 3.53 for Riga. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.6% and over 3.5 goals 58.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.