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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated OH Leuven vs Mechelen 100,000 times. OH Leuven won 44,835 of them (44.8%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Mechelen won 28.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest OH Leuven win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| OH Leuven win | 44.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Mechelen win | 28.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.5% |
| OH Leuven score first | 55.6% |
| Mechelen score first | 37.5% |
| OH Leuven clean sheet | 28.9% |
| Mechelen clean sheet | 20.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420611227 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
OH Leuven are favourites. They win 44.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 28.9% for Mechelen. Including the draw, OH Leuven avoid defeat 71.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest OH Leuven win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. OH Leuven keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Mechelen 20.3%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.62 for OH Leuven and 1.26 for Mechelen. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.