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UEFA Women's Champions League · 100,000 simulations

OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W prediction

We simulated OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W 100,000 times. OL Lyonnes W won 66,557 of them (66.6%), the draw came up 18.1% of the time and Chelsea W won 15.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.

OL Lyonnes W badge
OL Lyonnes W Groupama Stadium
0–0 Full time
Chelsea W badge
Chelsea W Away
66.6% 66,557 wins
18.1% Draw
15.3% 15,326 wins
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.08
Likeliest score
2-1 9.3%
Both score
59.8%
Over 2.5
67.6%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 18.1% and gave this exact score 3.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Marta Huerta de Aza Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W live score, stats & lineups

OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Women's Champions League · Wednesday 30 September, 20:00

OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W simulation probabilities
OL Lyonnes W win66.6%
Draw18.1%
Chelsea W win15.3%
Most likely score2-1 (9.3%)
Expected goals2.43 – 1.08
Both teams to score59.8%
Over 1.5 goals86.2%
Over 2.5 goals67.6%
Over 3.5 goals46.3%
OL Lyonnes W score first68.8%
Chelsea W score first27.9%
OL Lyonnes W clean sheet34.3%
Chelsea W clean sheet9.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420709949
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W prediction FAQs

Who will win OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W?

OL Lyonnes W are favourites. They win 66.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.1% for the draw and 15.3% for Chelsea W. Including the draw, OL Lyonnes W avoid defeat 84.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W?

2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-1 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W?

Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. OL Lyonnes W keep a clean sheet 34.3% of the time and Chelsea W 9.2%.

How many goals will there be in OL Lyonnes W vs Chelsea W?

The simulations average 3.50 goals: 2.43 for OL Lyonnes W and 1.08 for Chelsea W. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.6% and over 3.5 goals 46.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.