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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka 100,000 times. Avispa Fukuoka won 70,861 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and Osaka won 11.7%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.6%), and both teams score in 46.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Avispa Fukuoka winning 70.9% and gave this exact score 9.3%.
| Osaka win | 11.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| Avispa Fukuoka win | 70.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 0.75 – 2.22 |
| Both teams to score | 46.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Osaka score first | 25.8% |
| Avispa Fukuoka score first | 69.2% |
| Osaka clean sheet | 11.3% |
| Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet | 47.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420687700 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Avispa Fukuoka are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 11.7% for Osaka. Including the draw, Avispa Fukuoka avoid defeat 88.3% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations. Osaka keep a clean sheet 11.3% of the time and Avispa Fukuoka 47.6%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 0.75 for Osaka and 2.22 for Avispa Fukuoka. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.