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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town 100,000 times. Oxford United won 75,655 of them (75.7%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and Cheltenham Town won 8.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.1%), and both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
| Oxford United win | 75.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Cheltenham Town win | 8.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.64 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.9% |
| Oxford United score first | 71.8% |
| Cheltenham Town score first | 24.2% |
| Oxford United clean sheet | 45.1% |
| Cheltenham Town clean sheet | 7.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657169 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Oxford United are favourites. They win 75.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 8.9% for Cheltenham Town. Including the draw, Oxford United avoid defeat 91.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. Oxford United keep a clean sheet 45.1% of the time and Cheltenham Town 7.5%.
The simulations average 3.44 goals: 2.64 for Oxford United and 0.80 for Cheltenham Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.3% and over 3.5 goals 44.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.