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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Pacific vs Forge 100,000 times. Forge won 66,602 of them (66.6%), the draw came up 18.5% of the time and Pacific won 15%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.5%), and both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 18.5% and gave this exact score 8.4%.
| Pacific win | 15% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.5% |
| Forge win | 66.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.02 – 2.36 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.5% |
| Pacific score first | 32.4% |
| Forge score first | 64% |
| Pacific clean sheet | 9.9% |
| Forge clean sheet | 36.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543707 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Forge are favourites. They win 66.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.5% for the draw and 15% for Pacific. Including the draw, Forge avoid defeat 85.1% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Pacific keep a clean sheet 9.9% of the time and Forge 36.3%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 1.02 for Pacific and 2.36 for Forge. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.2% and over 3.5 goals 43.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.