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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Paide vs Nõmme Kalju 100,000 times. Paide won 46,082 of them (46.1%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Nõmme Kalju won 29.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Paide win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Nõmme Kalju winning 29.7% and gave this exact score 4.4%.
| Paide win | 46.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Nõmme Kalju win | 29.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Paide score first | 52% |
| Nõmme Kalju score first | 42.5% |
| Paide clean sheet | 28.7% |
| Nõmme Kalju clean sheet | 19.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521679 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paide are favourites. They win 46.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 29.7% for Nõmme Kalju. Including the draw, Paide avoid defeat 70.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Paide win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Paide keep a clean sheet 28.7% of the time and Nõmme Kalju 19.9%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.63 for Paide and 1.26 for Nõmme Kalju. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.1% and over 3.5 goals 33%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.