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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Palestine vs New Zealand 100,000 times. New Zealand won 48,193 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Palestine won 25.4%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.5%), and both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.4% and gave this exact score 4.4%.
| Palestine win | 25.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| New Zealand win | 48.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.99 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.6% |
| Palestine score first | 34% |
| New Zealand score first | 57.1% |
| Palestine clean sheet | 23.3% |
| New Zealand clean sheet | 37.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420718634 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New Zealand are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 25.4% for Palestine. Including the draw, New Zealand avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.3%) and 0-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Palestine keep a clean sheet 23.3% of the time and New Zealand 37.5%.
The simulations average 2.47 goals: 0.99 for Palestine and 1.48 for New Zealand. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.6% and over 3.5 goals 23.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.