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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama 100,000 times. Palmeiras won 59,243 of them (59.2%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Vasco da Gama won 14.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Palmeiras win is 2-0 (12.3%). Both teams score in 45.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Palmeiras winning 59.2% and gave this exact score 12.3%.
| Palmeiras win | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Vasco da Gama win | 14.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.77 – 0.77 |
| Both teams to score | 45.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.1% |
| Palmeiras score first | 65.3% |
| Vasco da Gama score first | 24.8% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 46.7% |
| Vasco da Gama clean sheet | 17.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420713410 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras are favourites. They win 59.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 14.2% for Vasco da Gama. Including the draw, Palmeiras avoid defeat 85.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.3%) and 1-0 (12.3%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 2-0 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.8% of simulations. Palmeiras keep a clean sheet 46.7% of the time and Vasco da Gama 17.5%.
The simulations average 2.53 goals: 1.77 for Palmeiras and 0.77 for Vasco da Gama. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.3% and over 3.5 goals 25.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.