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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens 100,000 times. Panathinaikos won 48,456 of them (48.5%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and AEK Athens won 24.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Panathinaikos win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.
| Panathinaikos win | 48.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| AEK Athens win | 24.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.4% |
| Panathinaikos score first | 55.8% |
| AEK Athens score first | 36.7% |
| Panathinaikos clean sheet | 31.7% |
| AEK Athens clean sheet | 18.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669425 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Panathinaikos are favourites. They win 48.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 24.3% for AEK Athens. Including the draw, Panathinaikos avoid defeat 75.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. Panathinaikos keep a clean sheet 31.7% of the time and AEK Athens 18.5%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.71 for Panathinaikos and 1.16 for AEK Athens. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.