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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis 100,000 times. PAOK won 74,575 of them (74.6%), the draw came up 15.6% of the time and Asteras Tripolis won 9.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.3%), and both teams score in 46.8% of simulations.
| PAOK win | 74.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.6% |
| Asteras Tripolis win | 9.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 46.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% |
| PAOK score first | 71.9% |
| Asteras Tripolis score first | 24% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 48.1% |
| Asteras Tripolis clean sheet | 9.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669411 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PAOK are favourites. They win 74.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.6% for the draw and 9.9% for Asteras Tripolis. Including the draw, PAOK avoid defeat 90.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.8% of simulations. PAOK keep a clean sheet 48.1% of the time and Asteras Tripolis 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 2.43 for PAOK and 0.74 for Asteras Tripolis. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.8% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.