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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Paraty vs Paduano 100,000 times. Paduano won 65,665 of them (65.7%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Paraty won 14.6%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.3%), and both teams score in 49.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Paduano winning 65.7% and gave this exact score 7.9%.
| Paraty win | 14.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Paduano win | 65.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.86 – 2.10 |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.3% |
| Paraty score first | 25.1% |
| Paduano score first | 70% |
| Paraty clean sheet | 12.8% |
| Paduano clean sheet | 42.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420674880 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paduano are favourites. They win 65.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 14.6% for Paraty. Including the draw, Paduano avoid defeat 85.4% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.9% of simulations. Paraty keep a clean sheet 12.8% of the time and Paduano 42.7%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 0.86 for Paraty and 2.10 for Paduano. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.