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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated PeKa vs KJP 100,000 times. PeKa won 71,748 of them (71.8%), the draw came up 13.5% of the time and KJP won 14.8%. The most likely score is 3-1 (7.2%), and both teams score in 74.3% of simulations.
Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had PeKa winning 71.8% and gave this exact score 4.4%.
| PeKa win | 71.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.5% |
| KJP win | 14.8% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (7.2%) |
| Expected goals | 3.29 – 1.51 |
| Both teams to score | 74.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 70.1% |
| PeKa score first | 64.8% |
| KJP score first | 34.7% |
| PeKa clean sheet | 22.4% |
| KJP clean sheet | 4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420548787 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PeKa are favourites. They win 71.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.5% for the draw and 14.8% for KJP. Including the draw, PeKa avoid defeat 85.2% of the time.
3-1, which came up in 7.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (6.7%) and 4-1 (5.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 74.3% of simulations. PeKa keep a clean sheet 22.4% of the time and KJP 4%.
The simulations average 4.81 goals: 3.29 for PeKa and 1.51 for KJP. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 85.3% and over 3.5 goals 70.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.