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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Pelister vs Osogovo 100,000 times. Pelister won 72,687 of them (72.7%), the draw came up 17.7% of the time and Osogovo won 9.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13.1%), and both teams score in 44.8% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Pelister winning 72.7% and gave this exact score 10%.
| Pelister win | 72.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.7% |
| Osogovo win | 9.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.29 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 44.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.9% |
| Pelister score first | 71.3% |
| Osogovo score first | 22.9% |
| Pelister clean sheet | 50.2% |
| Osogovo clean sheet | 10.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420653785 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Pelister are favourites. They win 72.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.7% for the draw and 9.6% for Osogovo. Including the draw, Pelister avoid defeat 90.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.4%) and 3-0 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.8% of simulations. Pelister keep a clean sheet 50.2% of the time and Osogovo 10.6%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 2.29 for Pelister and 0.69 for Osogovo. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.