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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Pérez Zeledón vs Herediano 100,000 times. Herediano won 50,179 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Pérez Zeledón won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Herediano win is 0-1 (11.8%). Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Herediano winning 50.2% and gave this exact score 5%.
| Pérez Zeledón win | 23.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Herediano win | 50.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.99 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 49.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.5% |
| Pérez Zeledón score first | 35.8% |
| Herediano score first | 55.7% |
| Pérez Zeledón clean sheet | 21.3% |
| Herediano clean sheet | 37.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420583853 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Herediano are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 23.7% for Pérez Zeledón. Including the draw, Herediano avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.8%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest Herediano win is 0-1 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations. Pérez Zeledón keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Herediano 37.5%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 0.99 for Pérez Zeledón and 1.56 for Herediano. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.8% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.