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We simulated Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets 100,000 times. Perth Glory won 45,135 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Newcastle Jets won 32.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest Perth Glory win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 66% of simulations.
| Perth Glory win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Newcastle Jets win | 32.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.86 – 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.1% |
| Perth Glory score first | 53.6% |
| Newcastle Jets score first | 42.5% |
| Perth Glory clean sheet | 21.8% |
| Newcastle Jets clean sheet | 16% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731866 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Perth Glory are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 32.1% for Newcastle Jets. Including the draw, Perth Glory avoid defeat 67.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Perth Glory win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66% of simulations. Perth Glory keep a clean sheet 21.8% of the time and Newcastle Jets 16%.
The simulations average 3.40 goals: 1.86 for Perth Glory and 1.54 for Newcastle Jets. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.7% and over 3.5 goals 44.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.