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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive 100,000 times. Phoenix Rising won 41,854 of them (41.9%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and El Paso Locomotive won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Phoenix Rising win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had El Paso Locomotive winning 30.6% and gave this exact score 3.2%.
| Phoenix Rising win | 41.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| El Paso Locomotive win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Phoenix Rising score first | 47% |
| El Paso Locomotive score first | 45.7% |
| Phoenix Rising clean sheet | 27.9% |
| El Paso Locomotive clean sheet | 21.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520081 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Phoenix Rising are favourites. They win 41.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 30.6% for El Paso Locomotive. Including the draw, Phoenix Rising avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Phoenix Rising win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Phoenix Rising keep a clean sheet 27.9% of the time and El Paso Locomotive 21.8%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.54 for Phoenix Rising and 1.29 for El Paso Locomotive. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.