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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Pisa vs Südtirol 100,000 times. Pisa won 59,833 of them (59.8%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Südtirol won 17.4%. The most likely score is 1-0 (10.8%), and both teams score in 51.5% of simulations.
| Pisa win | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Südtirol win | 17.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.91 – 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.7% |
| Pisa score first | 62.5% |
| Südtirol score first | 31.1% |
| Pisa clean sheet | 39.9% |
| Südtirol clean sheet | 15.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420664529 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Pisa are favourites. They win 59.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 17.4% for Südtirol. Including the draw, Pisa avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.7%) and 2-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.5% of simulations. Pisa keep a clean sheet 39.9% of the time and Südtirol 15.2%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.91 for Pisa and 0.92 for Südtirol. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.8% and over 3.5 goals 31.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.