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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated PKKU vs SalPa 100,000 times. SalPa won 43,210 of them (43.2%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and PKKU won 33.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.8%, while the likeliest SalPa win is 1-2 (7.7%). Both teams score in 74.7% of simulations.
Full time 0-4. Before kick-off the simulations had SalPa winning 43.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| PKKU win | 33.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| SalPa win | 43.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 2.10 |
| Both teams to score | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.5% |
| PKKU score first | 46.7% |
| SalPa score first | 49.7% |
| PKKU clean sheet | 12.6% |
| SalPa clean sheet | 16.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710835 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SalPa are favourites. They win 43.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 33.5% for PKKU. Including the draw, SalPa avoid defeat 66.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.7%) and 2-2 (7.1%). The likeliest SalPa win is 1-2 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 74.7% of simulations. PKKU keep a clean sheet 12.6% of the time and SalPa 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.95 goals: 1.85 for PKKU and 2.10 for SalPa. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.1% and over 3.5 goals 55.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.