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EFL Trophy · 100,000 simulations

Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town prediction

We simulated Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town 100,000 times. Plymouth Argyle won 65,906 of them (65.9%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and Swindon Town won 16.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.

Plymouth Argyle badge
Plymouth Argyle Home Park
Today
Swindon Town badge
Swindon Town Away
65.9% 65,906 wins
17.6% Draw
16.5% 16,540 wins
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.07
Likeliest score
2-1 9.5%
Both score
58.5%
Over 2.5
66%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Home Park, Plymouth
Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town lineups, team news & head to head

Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL Trophy · Today, 19:00

Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town simulation probabilities
Plymouth Argyle win65.9%
Draw17.6%
Swindon Town win16.5%
Most likely score2-1 (9.5%)
Expected goals2.35 – 1.07
Both teams to score58.5%
Over 1.5 goals84.7%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44.5%
Plymouth Argyle score first65.4%
Swindon Town score first31.4%
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet34.5%
Swindon Town clean sheet9.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420657236
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town prediction FAQs

Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town?

Plymouth Argyle are favourites. They win 65.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 16.5% for Swindon Town. Including the draw, Plymouth Argyle avoid defeat 83.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town?

2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town?

Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Plymouth Argyle keep a clean sheet 34.5% of the time and Swindon Town 9.9%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town?

The simulations average 3.42 goals: 2.35 for Plymouth Argyle and 1.07 for Swindon Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66% and over 3.5 goals 44.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.