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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham 100,000 times. Horsham won 39,263 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Plymouth Parkway won 37%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Horsham win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Plymouth Parkway winning 37% and gave this exact score 8.1%.
| Plymouth Parkway win | 37% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Horsham win | 39.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Plymouth Parkway score first | 44.9% |
| Horsham score first | 50.4% |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 21.9% |
| Horsham clean sheet | 23.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725072 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Horsham are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway. Including the draw, Horsham avoid defeat 63.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Horsham win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations. Plymouth Parkway keep a clean sheet 21.9% of the time and Horsham 23.1%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.48 for Plymouth Parkway and 1.54 for Horsham. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.