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FNL 2 - Group 4 · 100,000 simulations

Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul prediction

We simulated Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul 100,000 times. Dinamo Barnaul won 42,367 of them (42.4%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod won 34%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Dinamo Barnaul win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 67.4% of simulations.

Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod badge
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod Home
1–2 Full time
Dinamo Barnaul badge
Dinamo Barnaul Away
34% 34,041 wins
23.6% Draw
42.4% 42,367 wins
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.83
Likeliest score
1-1 10% Top Dinamo Barnaul win: 1-2 8.4%
Both score
67.4%
Over 2.5
66.7%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Dinamo Barnaul winning 42.4% and gave this exact score 8.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Matvey Novikov
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul live score, stats & lineups

Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul in numbers 100,000 simulations · FNL 2 - Group 4 · Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul simulation probabilities
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod win34%
Draw23.6%
Dinamo Barnaul win42.4%
Most likely score1-1 (10%)
Expected goals1.63 – 1.83
Both teams to score67.4%
Over 1.5 goals86.3%
Over 2.5 goals66.7%
Over 3.5 goals45.3%
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod score first47.4%
Dinamo Barnaul score first48.4%
Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod clean sheet16.5%
Dinamo Barnaul clean sheet20.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420684440
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul prediction FAQs

Who will win Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?

Dinamo Barnaul are favourites. They win 42.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 34% for Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod. Including the draw, Dinamo Barnaul avoid defeat 66% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?

1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Dinamo Barnaul win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?

Both teams score in 67.4% of simulations. Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod keep a clean sheet 16.5% of the time and Dinamo Barnaul 20.2%.

How many goals will there be in Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Barnaul?

The simulations average 3.46 goals: 1.63 for Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod and 1.83 for Dinamo Barnaul. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.7% and over 3.5 goals 45.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.