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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Police Tero FC vs Nongbua Pitchaya FC 100,000 times. Nongbua Pitchaya FC won 38,164 of them (38.2%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Police Tero FC won 35.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Nongbua Pitchaya FC win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 64.4% of simulations.
| Police Tero FC win | 35.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC win | 38.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 64.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Police Tero FC score first | 47.9% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC score first | 46.4% |
| Police Tero FC clean sheet | 20.1% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC clean sheet | 21.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420690828 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nongbua Pitchaya FC are favourites. They win 38.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 35.2% for Police Tero FC. Including the draw, Nongbua Pitchaya FC avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Nongbua Pitchaya FC win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.4% of simulations. Police Tero FC keep a clean sheet 20.1% of the time and Nongbua Pitchaya FC 21.5%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 1.56 for Police Tero FC and 1.63 for Nongbua Pitchaya FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.4% and over 3.5 goals 39.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.