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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn 100,000 times. Porthmadog won 67,155 of them (67.2%), the draw came up 17.4% of the time and Llanuwchllyn won 15.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 61.8% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Porthmadog win | 67.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.4% |
| Llanuwchllyn win | 15.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.52 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.3% |
| Porthmadog score first | 66.6% |
| Llanuwchllyn score first | 30.7% |
| Porthmadog clean sheet | 32.6% |
| Llanuwchllyn clean sheet | 8.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599067 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Porthmadog are favourites. They win 67.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.4% for the draw and 15.5% for Llanuwchllyn. Including the draw, Porthmadog avoid defeat 84.5% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.8% of simulations. Porthmadog keep a clean sheet 32.6% of the time and Llanuwchllyn 8.4%.
The simulations average 3.65 goals: 2.52 for Porthmadog and 1.13 for Llanuwchllyn. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.2% and over 3.5 goals 49.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.