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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence 100,000 times. Charlotte Independence won 50,331 of them (50.3%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Portland Hearts of Pine won 27.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.1%, while the likeliest Charlotte Independence win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Portland Hearts of Pine winning 27.7%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Portland Hearts of Pine win | 27.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Charlotte Independence win | 50.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 2.09 |
| Both teams to score | 68.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.4% |
| Portland Hearts of Pine score first | 37.1% |
| Charlotte Independence score first | 59.6% |
| Portland Hearts of Pine clean sheet | 12.8% |
| Charlotte Independence clean sheet | 22.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420523114 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Charlotte Independence are favourites. They win 50.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 27.7% for Portland Hearts of Pine. Including the draw, Charlotte Independence avoid defeat 72.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Charlotte Independence win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.2% of simulations. Portland Hearts of Pine keep a clean sheet 12.8% of the time and Charlotte Independence 22.4%.
The simulations average 3.60 goals: 1.51 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 2.09 for Charlotte Independence. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.4% and over 3.5 goals 48.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.