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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Prat vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. Athletic Club won 95,555 of them (95.6%), the draw came up 3.3% of the time and Prat won 1.2%. The most likely score is 0-4 (12.1%), and both teams score in 34.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-6. Before kick-off the simulations had Athletic Club winning 95.6% and gave this exact score 3.4%.
| Prat win | 1.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.3% |
| Athletic Club win | 95.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-4 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.44 – 4.44 |
| Both teams to score | 34.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 70.5% |
| Prat score first | 11.4% |
| Athletic Club score first | 87.7% |
| Prat clean sheet | 1.4% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 64.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733292 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletic Club are favourites. They win 95.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 3.3% for the draw and 1.2% for Prat. Including the draw, Athletic Club avoid defeat 98.9% of the time.
0-4, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-5 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 34.6% of simulations. Prat keep a clean sheet 1.4% of the time and Athletic Club 64.8%.
The simulations average 4.88 goals: 0.44 for Prat and 4.44 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 85.4% and over 3.5 goals 70.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.