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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Puskás vs İstanbul Başakşehir 100,000 times. İstanbul Başakşehir won 43,076 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Puskás won 31.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest İstanbul Başakşehir win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had İstanbul Başakşehir winning 43.1% and gave this exact score 6.4%.
| Puskás win | 31.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir win | 43.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.69 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Puskás score first | 42.2% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir score first | 52.1% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 18.9% |
| İstanbul Başakşehir clean sheet | 24.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420570200 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
İstanbul Başakşehir are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 31.4% for Puskás. Including the draw, İstanbul Başakşehir avoid defeat 68.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest İstanbul Başakşehir win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Puskás keep a clean sheet 18.9% of the time and İstanbul Başakşehir 24.7%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 1.42 for Puskás and 1.69 for İstanbul Başakşehir. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.7% and over 3.5 goals 37.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.