NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
NEW
Bet Builder: Nations League & EFL Trophy Added
9 Nov 2026
👉 https://www.oddalerts.com/bet-builder
NEW
Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
7 Nov 2026
We have developed a new metric for the Form Guide. You can now see the upcoming difficulty of a team's fixture run. What's more, you can no…
UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
6 Nov 2026
- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Racing vs Cerro Largo 100,000 times. Racing won 57,653 of them (57.7%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Cerro Largo won 16.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.2%), and both teams score in 41.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Racing winning 57.7% and gave this exact score 4.8%.
| Racing win | 57.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Cerro Largo win | 16.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (15.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% |
| Racing score first | 62.4% |
| Cerro Largo score first | 27.4% |
| Racing clean sheet | 48.3% |
| Cerro Largo clean sheet | 20.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420740161 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Racing are favourites. They win 57.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 16.8% for Cerro Largo. Including the draw, Racing avoid defeat 83.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 15.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.3%) and 1-1 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.3% of simulations. Racing keep a clean sheet 48.3% of the time and Cerro Largo 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.33 goals: 1.60 for Racing and 0.73 for Cerro Largo. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.1% and over 3.5 goals 20.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.