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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Real España vs Platense 100,000 times. Real España won 67,958 of them (68%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and Platense won 11.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.6%), and both teams score in 46.6% of simulations.
Full time 4-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Real España winning 68%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Real España win | 68% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Platense win | 11.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.11 – 0.75 |
| Both teams to score | 46.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Real España score first | 70.5% |
| Platense score first | 23.4% |
| Real España clean sheet | 47.3% |
| Platense clean sheet | 12.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728317 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real España are favourites. They win 68% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 11.8% for Platense. Including the draw, Real España avoid defeat 88.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.6% of simulations. Real España keep a clean sheet 47.3% of the time and Platense 12.5%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 2.11 for Real España and 0.75 for Platense. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.3% and over 3.5 goals 32.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.