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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Real Estelí vs Jalapa 100,000 times. Real Estelí won 78,443 of them (78.4%), the draw came up 13.8% of the time and Jalapa won 7.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 47.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 13.8% and gave this exact score 6.5%.
| Real Estelí win | 78.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.8% |
| Jalapa win | 7.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.68 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 47.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.8% |
| Real Estelí score first | 76.1% |
| Jalapa score first | 20.4% |
| Real Estelí clean sheet | 49.2% |
| Jalapa clean sheet | 7.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709372 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Estelí are favourites. They win 78.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.8% for the draw and 7.7% for Jalapa. Including the draw, Real Estelí avoid defeat 92.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.1% of simulations. Real Estelí keep a clean sheet 49.2% of the time and Jalapa 7.3%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 2.68 for Real Estelí and 0.71 for Jalapa. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.4% and over 3.5 goals 43.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.