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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Real Estelí vs Managua prediction

We simulated Real Estelí vs Managua 100,000 times. Real Estelí won 39,682 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Managua won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Real Estelí win is 1-0 (8.8%). Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations.

Real Estelí badge
Real Estelí Estadio Independencia
2–1 Full time
Managua badge
Managua Away
39.7% 39,682 wins
27.4% Draw
33% 32,971 wins
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.28
Likeliest score
1-1 12.9% Top Real Estelí win: 1-0 8.8%
Both score
55.1%
Over 2.5
50.5%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Real Estelí winning 39.7% and gave this exact score 8.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Roger Meléndez Estadio Independencia, Nicaragua
Real Estelí vs Managua live score, stats & lineups

Real Estelí vs Managua in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Monday 26 October, 01:00

Real Estelí vs Managua simulation probabilities
Real Estelí win39.7%
Draw27.4%
Managua win33%
Most likely score1-1 (12.9%)
Expected goals1.42 – 1.28
Both teams to score55.1%
Over 1.5 goals75.7%
Over 2.5 goals50.5%
Over 3.5 goals28.7%
Real Estelí score first51.4%
Managua score first40.9%
Real Estelí clean sheet28.3%
Managua clean sheet24.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420728091
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Real Estelí vs Managua prediction FAQs

Who will win Real Estelí vs Managua?

Real Estelí are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 33% for Managua. Including the draw, Real Estelí avoid defeat 67% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Real Estelí vs Managua?

1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Estelí win is 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Real Estelí vs Managua?

Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations. Real Estelí keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Managua 24.5%.

How many goals will there be in Real Estelí vs Managua?

The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.42 for Real Estelí and 1.28 for Managua. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.5% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.