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We simulated Real Estelí vs Managua 100,000 times. Real Estelí won 39,682 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Managua won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Real Estelí win is 1-0 (8.8%). Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Real Estelí winning 39.7% and gave this exact score 8.5%.
| Real Estelí win | 39.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Managua win | 33% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 55.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% |
| Real Estelí score first | 51.4% |
| Managua score first | 40.9% |
| Real Estelí clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Managua clean sheet | 24.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728091 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Estelí are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 33% for Managua. Including the draw, Real Estelí avoid defeat 67% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Estelí win is 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations. Real Estelí keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Managua 24.5%.
The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.42 for Real Estelí and 1.28 for Managua. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.5% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.